Overconfidence Bias: Why 80 Percent of Drivers Rate Themselves Above Average
The Above-Average Problem: In a 1981 Swedish study, 93 percent of drivers rated their driving skill as above the median. In a 1977 American replication of the same question, the figure was 88 percent. The mathematical impossibility is obvious — by definition, only 50 percent of drivers can actually be above the median — yet … Read more